Ironically, after what many would call his worst season in years, Peyton Manning projects to be the 2nd-best of the group… It turns out that he still performed well in the categories that a QB has the most control over (avoiding sacks, completing passes, throwing for scores), while the areas in which he did not perform as well (Y/A, Int%) were the categories that are most prone to yearly variance. Compare that to Tom Brady, who rode an historically low — but ultimately fluky — Int% and a high Y/A to his league-leading uAYA in 2010, and it’s not hard to see why the two great QBs might be on different trajectories if their luck evens out in 2011.
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