Championship Weekend DVOA

FO covers the games

COLTS-JETS: It sure felt like the Colts dominated this game in the second half, right? Well, they didn’t in the first half, and that keeps the numbers close for the whole game. Remember, the Jets actually had the lead going into halftime. The Colts had 7.1 yards per play to the Jets’ 6.5 yards per play, and the Jets were much more efficient on third down. (Without opponent adjustments, the Colts had a negative VOA on third down, -10.8%, while the Jets had an awesome 85.8% VOA.) All in all, this game wasn’t quite as impressive as it seemed at the time — a phrase which has described a lot of Colts wins this year. Then again, all those games have been wins, haven’t they?

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